Finding the Open Receiver: A Quantitative Geospatial Analysis of Quarterback Decision-Making

Research Paper will be posted in the coming weeks. Check back soon!
Download the
Full Paper Here

Jeremy Hochstedler


Within football and media organizations, significant resources are consumed through the analysis of player performance and decision-making, especially at the quarterback (QB) position. Since 2014, radio-frequency identification (RFID) tracking technology has been used to continuously monitor the on-field locations of NFL players. [1 Zebra Technologies] Using geospatial American football data, this research quantitatively evaluates receiver openness, player elusiveness, and QB decision-making.

In addition to enhancing win probability, using NFL injury data, we have discovered how QB decisions and passing ability impact the likelihood of receiver concussions. By making better decisions and finding the open receiver, QB’s can put their receivers and their teams in better positions to succeed.