Shark v. Fox: Politics and Forecasting in the Time of the Hedgehog

Between the worlds of sports, politics, and investing, making accurate forecasts is crucial. Of course, forecasts only provide expectations that aggregate the probability of the different possible outcomes. Sometimes, as was the case with the recent presidential election, these expectations differ significantly from reality due to the occurrence of “less likely” events. This panel will address the current state of forecasting, how it is applied across sports, business and politics, and how we expect forecasting to evolve in the coming years.

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