A data-driven method for understanding and increasing 3-point shooting percentage

Download Full Paper Here

Although 3-point shooting is an essential aspect of winning games, shooting percentages have remained stagnant for decades. Here, we analyze 6 shooter factors from over 1.1 million 3-point shots captured by the Noah shooting system to quantitatively define high percentage shooting and shooter improvement. We find significant associations between all of these 6 shooter factors and shooting percentage. Furthermore, we use the interaction of these factors to define the region in the hoop where shots are guaranteed to score. Of the 6 factors, 4 are directly actionable using new technologies for instant feedback. We use machine learning to predict shooting percentage within 1.5% using only these 4 factors as input. Finally, we grouped players by their proficiency at these 4 factors and show case studies about the dissimilar training approaches that will lead to optimal improvement for two of these groups.

Back to Videos